... The damage from Japanese pornographic works is tremendous.  They cause some people to lose their stands.  For example, the legendary hero Chen Jinnan could never get the men to unite to oust the Manchurians and restore the Ming dynasty.  Meanwhile, Ran Asakawa made many more Chinese young men fall in love with her overnight.  When she was rumored to have died recently, many Chinese young men were so sad.   Japanese pornography is also causing some promising Chinese young men to die from anger when they detect Chinese elements in certain Japanese adult games and pornography.  One way or the other, it is all the fault of Japanese pornography.

Finally, I have to explain to Comrade Police Officer.  All the background knowledge in this essay were based purely upon hearsay.  I haven't watched any of it.  I haven't watched ...

P.S.  Who is Ran Asakawa (武藤兰/朝河蘭)?  "Brother, if you don't know Ran Asakawa, then you don't understand adult video no matter how many you have watched."

Singapores Martyr, Chee Soon Juan.  July/August 2006.  By Hugo Restall, FEER.

Striding into the Chinese restaurant of Singapores historic Fullerton Hotel, Chee Soon Juan hardly looks like a dangerous revolutionary. Casually dressed in a blue shirt with a gold pen clipped to the pocket, he could pass as just another mild-mannered, apolitical Singaporean. Smiling, he courteously apologizes for being lateeven though it is only two minutes after the appointed time.

Nevertheless, according to prosecutors, this same man is not only a criminal, but a repeat offender. The opposition party leader has just come from a pre-trial conference at the courthouse, where he faces eight counts of speaking in public without a permit. He has already served numerous prison terms for this and other political offenses, including eight days in March for denying the independence of the judiciary. He expects to go to jail again later this year.

Mr. Chee does not seem too perturbed about this, but it drives Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong up the wall. Asked about his governments persecution of the opposition during a trip to New Zealand last month, Mr. Lee launched into a tirade of abuse against Mr. Chee. Hes a liar, hes a cheat, hes deceitful, hes confrontational, its a destructive form of politics designed not to win elections in Singapore but to impress foreign supporters and make himself out to be a martyr, Mr. Lee ranted. Hes deliberately going against the rules because he says, Im like Nelson Mandela and Mahatma Gandhi. I want to be a martyr.

Coming at the end of a trip in which the prime minister essentially got a free ride on human rights from his hostsNew Zealand Prime Minister Helen Clark didnt even raise the issuethis outburst showed a lack of self-control and acumen. Former Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew, the man who many believe still runs Singapore and who is the current prime ministers father, has said much the same things about Mr. Cheea political gangster, a liar and a cheatbut that was at home, and in the heat of an election campaign.

Mr. Chee smiles when its suggested that he must be doing something right. Every time he says something stupid like that, I think to myself, the worst thing to happen would be to be ignored. That would mean were not making any headway, he agrees.

But one charge made by the government does stick: Mr. Chee is not terribly concerned about election results. Which is just as well, because his Singapore Democratic Party did not do very well in the May 6 polls. It would be foolish, he suggests, for an opposition party in Singapore to pin its hopes on gaining one, or perhaps two, seats in parliament. He is aiming for a much bigger goal: bringing down the city-states one-party system of government. His weapon is a campaign of civil disobedience against laws designed to curtail democratic freedoms.

You dont vote out a dictatorship, he says. And basically thats what Singapore is, albeit a very sophisticated one. Its not possible for us to effect change just through the ballot box. Theyve got control of everything else around us. Instead whats needed is a coalition of civil society and political society coming together and demanding changea color revolution for Singapore.

So far Mr. Chee doesnt seem to be getting much, if any traction. While many Singaporeans dont particularly like the PAPs arrogant style of government, the ruling party has succeeded in depoliticizing the population to the extent that anybody who presses them to take action to make a change is regarded with resentment. And in a climate of fearMr. Chee lost his job as a psychology lecturer at the national university soon after entering opposition politicsa reluctance to get involved is hardly surprising.

Why is all this oppression necessary in a peaceful and prosperous country like Singapore where citizens otherwise enjoy so many freedoms? Mr. Chee has his own theory that the answer lies with strongman Lee Kuan Yew himself: Why is he still so afraid? I honestly think that through the years he has accumulated enough skeletons in his closet that he knows that when he is gone, his son and the generations after him will have a price to pay. If we had parliamentary debates where the opposition could pry and ask questions, I think he is actually afraid of something like that.

That raises the question of whether Singapore deserves its reputation for squeaky-clean government. A scandal involving the countrys biggest charity, the National Kidney Foundation, erupted in 2004 when it turned out that its Chief Executive T.T. Durai was not only drawing a $357,000 annual salary, but the charity was paying for his first-class flights, maintenance on his Mercedes, and gold-plated fixtures in his private office bathroom.

The scandal was a gift for the opposition, which naturally raised questions about why the government didnt do a better job of supervising the highly secretive NKF, whose patron was the wife of former Prime Minister Goh Chok Tong (she called Mr. Durais salary peanuts). But it had wider implications too. The government controls huge pools of public money in the Central Provident Fund and the Government of Singapore Investment Corp., both of which are highly nontransparent. It also controls spending on the public housing most Singaporeans live in, and openly uses the funds for refurbishing apartment blocks as a bribe for districts that vote for the ruling party. Singaporeans have no way of knowing whether officials are abusing their trust as Mr. Durai did.

It gets worse. Mr. Durais abuses only came to light because he sued the Straits Times newspaper for libel over an article detailing some of his perks. Why was Mr. Durai so confident he could win a libel suit when the allegations against him were true? Because he had done it before. The NKF won a libel case in 1998 against defendants who alleged it had paid for first-class flights for Mr. Durai. This time, however, he was up against a major bulwark of the regime, Singapore Press Holdings; its lawyers uncovered the truth.

Singaporean officials have a remarkable record of success in winning libel suits against their critics. The question then is, how many other libel suits have Singapores great and good wrongly won, resulting in the cover-up of real misdeeds? And are libel suits deliberately used as a tool to suppress questioning voices?

The bottling up of dissent conceals pressures and prevents conflicts from being resolved. For instance, extreme sensitivity over the issue of race relations means that the persistence of discrimination is a taboo topic. Yet according to Mr. Chee it is a problem that should be debated so that it can be better resolved. The harder they press now, the stronger will be the reaction when hes no longer around, he says of Lee Kuan Yew.

The paternalism of the PAP also rankles, especially since foreigners get more consideration than locals. The World Bank and International Monetary Fund will hold their annual meeting in Singapore this fall, and have been trying to convince the authorities to allow the usual demonstrations to take place. The likely result is that international NGO groups will be given a designated area to scream and shout. So we have a situation here where locals dont have the right to protest in their own country, while foreigners are able to do that, Mr. Chee marvels. Likewise, Singaporeans cant organize freely into unions to negotiate wages; instead a National Wages Council sets salaries with input from the corporate sector, including foreign chambers of commerce.

All these tensions will erupt when strongman Lee Kuan Yew dies. Mr. Chee notes that the ruling party is so insecure that Singapores founder has been unable to step back from front-line politics. The PAP still needs the fear he inspires in order to keep the population in line. Power may have officially passed to his son, Lee Hsien Loong, but even supporters privately admit that the new prime minister doesnt inspire confidence.

During the election, Prime Minister Lee made what should have been a routine attack on multiparty democracy: Suppose you had 10, 15, 20 opposition members in parliament. Instead of spending my time thinking what is the right policy for Singapore, Im going to spend all my time thinking whats the right way to fix them, to buy my supporters votes, how can I solve this weeks problem and forget about next years challenges? But of course the ominous phrases buy votes and fix them stuck out. That is the kind of mistake, Mr. Chee suggests, Lee Sr. would not make.

Hes got a kind of intelligence that would serve you very well when you put a problem in front of him, he says of the prime minister. But when it comes to administration or political leadership, when you really need to be media savvy and motivate people, I think he is very lacking in that area. And his father senses it as well.

However, the elder Mr. Lees deathhe is now 82is a necessary but not sufficient condition for change. Another big factor is how civil society is able to use new technologies to bypass PAP control over information and free speech. The government has tried to stifle political filmmaking, blogging and podcasting. Singapore Rebel, a 2004 film about Mr. Chee by independent artist Martyn See, was banned but is widely available on the Internet.

Meanwhile, pressure for Singapore to remain competitive in the region has sparked debate about the governments dominant role in the economy. Can a top-down approach promote creativity and independent thinking? The need for transparency and accountability also means that Singapore will have to change. That is the source of Mr. Chees optimism in the face of all his setbacks: I realize that Singapore is not at that level yet. But weve got to start somewhere. And Im prepared to see this out, in the sense that in the next five, 10, 15 years, time is on our side. We need to continue to organize and educate and encourage. And it will come.

He doesnt dwell on his personal tribulations, but mentions in passing selling his self-published books on the street. That is his primary source of income to feed his family, along with the occasional grant. As to the charge of wanting to be a martyr, once he started dissenting, he found it impossible to stop in good conscience. The more you got involved, the more you found out what theyre capable of, it steels you, so you say, No, I will not back down. It makes you more determined.

Perhaps its in his genes. One of Mr. Chees daughters is old enough that she had to be told that her father was going to prison. She stood up before her class and announced, My papa is in jail, but he didnt do anything wrong. People have just been unfair to him.

Explanation: Statement on Singapore Banning the REVIEW  Travellers' Tales.

[in translation]

Renowned scholar Yu Qiuyu (余秋雨) published an essay titled "That is the name I was talking about" in People's Daily Net about the fall of Chen Lianyu, former Shanghai city party secretary.

Yu Qiuyu said that he related something that made him uncomfortable during the pre-recording of his program "Quitu Time" on Phoenix TV.  It was the second half of the year before last and he was invited to attend a Shanghai cultural event after not having been to such events for years.  At the time, many literary experts were there and they kept mentioning a name in an intimate way (no family name, just the given name).  Yu Qiuyu "did not know what was going on."  A man sitting next to him answered his query with astonishment: "That is the top leader of this city!"

Yu Qiuyu said, "I felt strange because this leader is definitely not engaged in research in the humanities.  So why are these scholars and professors referring to him repeatedly?  This is a form of mental kneeling in adoration.  Since the target was not present, it can be said to be a form of 'kneeling in absence.'"  The name that was being invoked with intimacy by the scholars was "Liangyu."

Yu Qiuyu said that he has brought up his concerns over this incident to his friends dozens of times.  On that day, he deliberately emphasized the serious setback in Shanghai cultural activities these days.  But those scholars looked at Yu in astonishment and two of them even interrupted him to say that Shanghai was not only setting cultural standards for China, but even internationally.  They were talking down at on him.

Yu Qiuyu said, "I was thinking at the time that since we are at a discussion of the humanities, I ought to have greater 'speech rights' than your 'Liangyu'?  Your respect for him and arrogance towards me do not represent serious scholarship.  When the scholars and professors engage in shameless flattery, these leaders take themselves too seriously.  A certain university professor said: 'What Liangyu said last month was also said before by the German Enlightenment philosophers, but he was more innovative.'  When so many contemporary intellectuals do these sorts of things, some officials forget who they are."

Finally Yu Qiuyu said that true intellectuals should be responsible for monitoring public power.  But most contemporary Chinese intellectuals are engaged in criticizing those without power and take out their jealousies on their colleagues.  Over and over again, they referred intimately to a certain leader that they do not personally know with his given name because they want to highlight their position and background and to mislead people that it was the leader's desire to trample on his colleagues -- such is their "wisdom of life."

As you might expect, some Internet netizens said to Yu Qiuyu: "Where were you two years ago?" and "See if you dare to publish this ten days ago" (see ChineseNewsNet).

[in translation]

Recently, there was an alleged case of an independent website being censored by ISP's.  The subject in the case was ntscmp.com, which was established in 1997 and is an independent website that made sarcastic jabs at current social ills.  Its position is that it is never afraid of offending people, including Li Ka-shing and his son Richard Li.

It was the website operator George Adams who revealed the case.  He publicly stated that some netizens cannot properly visit the website, but only Netvigator and Hutchison Global Communication users had those problems.  He called for netizens to complain to the Office of Telecommunication Authority.

The incident then developed with the Internet Society experts tracing the signal paths (a simple command that any user can test himself) and finding that the problem originated from outside Hong Kong.  Famous bloggers such as EastSouthWestNorth's Roland Soong and other experts also explained that the blocking was not due to any actions by Netvigator and Hutchinson Global Communication.  But like the drama in Potato Judge, even if the prima facie evidence does not exist, the Li family has been pronounced guilty.

Actually, anyone who understands anything about the structure of the Internet would not be jumping to a hasty conclusion.  In the Internet world, information communication is bi-directional.  The server is on one side and the end-user is on the other side.  For example, the end-user wants to view a short video hosted by an American server.  The end-user must send a command to the server and then the server will fetch the video and send it back to the end-user.

When one cannot visit a website, it does not have to be solely a problem with the ISP.  It may be that something is wrong with the server or the end-user.  For example, the server may limit the number of users or the restrict access only to some users.  Also the end-user may have problems with the hardware (network card or modem) or browser software, or even infected by computer viruses.  All these things may cause the website not to be properly displayed.

Another reason is that the ISP's cache engine (cache engines are used by ISP's to save the cost of accessing overseas website and increase network speed) has not yet updated its information so that the users are only seeing outdated information, or nothing at all.  This is an issue with the effectiveness of the cache engine, and not because the ISP deliberately censored a specific website.  This time, the two ISP's got the blame because netizens do not understand the structure of the Internet and also because of the negative image of the Li family.

The alleged ntscmp.com censorship case obviously showed that the public was pre-disposed against the Li family.  But the public relations people at the two ISP's chose "silence" and "avoidance" to deal with the prejudices of the netizens.  There are three possibilities:

1. They don't know the truth and they don't have the technical competence to get to the bottom of it;
2. They don't like their two bosses and they share the prejudices of the netizens;
3. They don't know how to deal with the matter and they believe that if they choose the ostrich policy, netizens will forget about it in a few days.

I have been in the public relations field before, and I dare say that (1) is unlikely and (3) is most probable.

But there are very few people who understand the whole affair and the point is not whether the ISP's were censoring ntscmp.  The point is whether the netizens will continue to hold the perception about censorship.  Undoubtedly, several days later, nobody is talking about incident anymore.  But when something else ever happens with Netvigator or HGC again, people will surely resurrect this affair.  At that time, even though this censorship case is still an allegation at this time, it will be treated as fact next time.  I want to remind the public relations people at the two ISP's that it requires tremendous effort to overturn a case, and it is often beyond the means of most public relations people.

When I was in public relations years ago, my boss and mentor said that PR is the abbreviation for "Perception & Reality."  The facts and prejudices are always unavoidably separated.  To bring the two together is the most basic thing that public relations people do every day.  This is so-called "bridging the perception gap."

Unfortunately, most public relations people in Hong Kong have no standing or knowledge.  When nothing happens, they wine and dine their clients.  When something happens, they have no comments.  Public relations people working for companies only know how to read their bosses' minds.  Or maybe they know how to write some press releases.  But how many of them know how to manage the perception gap?

If you cannot even do something this basic, you are better off giving up and going to Marcom to do publicity.  Please do not drag your company down.  These so-called public relations people, whether they like the two Li bosses or not, are guilty of fulfilling the prejudices of the netizens. 

When I asked Peng Ming-min, the godfather of Taiwan's independence movement, to write an op-ed, the chief editor, fearing that it might violate Beijing's position on national unification, removed the piece at the last minute. In fact, up to this very minute as far as I know, there's no law in Hong Kong forbidding the advocacy of Taiwan independence. Better do it before the masters utter the order of course.

People get the kind of press they deserve, I hate to admit. As long as the consumers in Hong Kong, constantly named as the freest economy on this planet earth, choose to support those media which engage in self-censorship, there's not much individual journalists can do to change the tide and alter the big picture. Self-censoring newspaper owners won't have a firmer backbone as along as their pockets aren't hurt.

If you believe that Hong Kong is a free market, then those newspapers that cover the issues that the consumers want will be rewarded.  So what is the market for Taiwan independence in Hong Kong?  If there is a huge and unsatisfied demand, a newspaper can exploit this open space.

Here is a Hong Kong University Public Opinion Programme poll (telephone interviews with 1,007 respondents conducted during September 1-7, 2006).

Q: Taiwan independence?
81% oppose; 12% support

Q: Confidence in cross-strait reunification?
59% confident; 34% not confident

Q: Taiwan rejoin the United Nations?
58% oppose; 27% support

Q: "One country, two systems" applicable to Taiwan?
53% applicable; 35% not applicable

What is the market for a Hong Kong newspaper that wants to advocate (or even just discuss in a fair and balanced manner) Taiwan independence?

Related Link: Does Article 23 Really Matter To Beijing?  Letters from China

... will definitely share their films, photographs and reports when their own colleagues are assaulted to achieve maximum impact on public opinion and pressure.  This occurred across the entire political spectrum of the newspapers because no matter what your position is (e.g. pro-China or pro-democracy), it is just wrong to assault any reporter trying to gather news.  Mainland media should note this type of solidarity is a powerful form of protection -- nobody will think about assaulting one reporter when they know that the whole country will know about this the next morning.

Yesterday, in the Baiyuan district of Guangzhou, a vehicle jumped over the barrier on a bridge and fell into the river.  When eight reporters from four different media outlets arrived, they were accosted by men dressed in plainclothes or security uniforms, and roughed up.  Afterwards, the attackers were seen to walk into the Renhuo town government office building.
 
 

 
So what happened afterwards?  The newspapers shared their photographs and interviewed each other's reporters.  Here is the front page story from Southern Metropolis Daily which quotes the individual reproters.

YCWB reporter: I was called to cover this suddenly breaking incident, and I did not expect to encounter this situation.  Apart from anger, shock and depression, I also feel helpless.  Even today, some people think that they can shut everything down and that force is the solution for problems.  That is very naive.

Southern TV reporter: When I was dragged from the dam into the dark room, I was afraid because I did not know what was going to happen.  Three or them grabbed my arms and another wrapped me up with his arms.  I could not see anything inside the room.  Several people pinned me against the wall while another tugged at the equipment.  I asked, "I won't film then" but they still wanted to seize it.  I thought that I had to protect the eqiupment and preserve the evidence, so that everybody can see their ugly performance.

New Express reporter: This was obviousl a malaciously organized assault on reporters.  Throughout the entire incident, none of the reporters did anything wrong.  But I don't know who was directing these steel-pipe-wielding men wearing steel helmets to attack unarmed reporters.

Southern Metropolis Daily reporter:  After being taken into the dark room, someone seized the camera of our photographer and dropped it on the ground.  Then someone else tossed the camera out the door.  We went up to retrieve it but they pushed and punched us.  We slowly backed up out of the room.  In the confusion, our photographer stepped on a nail and started beldding.  (Photograph of nail on board and the x-ray of the foot is shown below).

In the evening, the Southern Metropolis Daily reporter contacted Renhuo town party publicity committee member Chen (who is a deputy town mayor) who said: "According to my understanding, our security people did not assault anyone.  There is no doubt about that."  When the reporter asked him about his view on the attack on the reporters, he said: "You people claimed that there was an incident.  I do not accept that it happened."

Answer: We need a YouTube video!  Five million viewing afterwards maybe Mr. Chen will respond appropriately.  (See CCTV via ChineseNewsNet)

Hi Roland,

I see you have been writing a lot about the [non] censorship of the blog NTSCMP in Hong Kong. But in Beijing there is another blog that has been censored by China Daily.

Not sure if you've been following the blog of one of the China Daily editors, called Positive Solutions (http://www.20six.co.uk/positivesolutions). The guy who did it, Charlie, is an English editor there, but he just got told to take it down or lose his job and get his working visa cancelled. Friend who works at 21st Century (part of China Daily), says this week all foreign staff have been told they must sign an agreement not to keep blogs unless they are "official" China Daily editorial ones like those by Raymond Zhou.

Management at China Daily are not happy about foreign staff bloggers since another foreign editor wrote a revealing blog about the place last year (called State Secrets) and a female Australian former editor has just published a scathing book about the place too [Kirsty Needham, A season in the Red, you might want to review it].

Last I heard, Charlie was looking for "alternative employment", (though he hasn't been fired) and another female editor is refusing to close down her [non-work-related] Beijing blog.

Since you gave so much coverage the non-censorship of a HK blog, is it fair and balanced to show that real censorship is occurring to the blogs of westerners in China?

Wow!  So I go over to Positive Solutions and here is the most recent post  (note: I'm reproducing it here just in case ... you know ... that site gets taken down).

In between (eye-wateringly tedious) stories at work this evening, I started flicking through a few blogs. To my great surprise, I found a story (swiftly removed) on a major blog that Positive Solutions had been shut down, and I had been silenced by THE MAN!!!

In a published email to the author of the blog (which shall remain anony-mouse), someone wrote: The guy who did it, Charlie, is an English editor there, but I heard he just got told to take it down or lose his job and get his working visa cancelled. One of the senior foreign editors on the China Daily website found his blog by chance and saw the negative comments that Charlie and other commenters had made about some of the Chinese staff and the China Daily editorial policy.

He then went on to cite an entirely fictitious person at China Daily dobbing me in. I know it was fictitious, because there is no-one here that fitted the description given. 

The blog author then noted that, according to his source, all China Daily staff will be required to sign an agreement not to blog. He also expressed his surprise that Positive Solutions lasted as long as it did.

All of which, quite frankly, is f**king hilarious. 

Someone has taken the time out of their day to make up a story about China Daily attempting to silence one of its foreign editors, pertaining to have knowledge of the inner workings of the place.

Permit me a few observations:

* This person has too much time on their hands.
* I suspect this is the work of the person who listed this blog on Wikipedia.
* I hope this is not some Han Rui Dismissed From Office-style obscure hint/warning for me to shut the hell up
* This person has obviously been reading this blog very closely, of which Im grateful
* Perhaps Ive got an e-stalker? Discomforting, but not as bad as a real one (Ive had one, and she was ugly. In all senses of the word)
* The thought that the management of China Daily would give a toss about what I have to say about anything is laughable: As Ive said repeatedly, as a 24-year-old white boy, Im the lowest of the low at China Daily.
* Could this be a malicious muck-spreading attempt, aiming to create an online uproar and bring the name of China Daily into serious disrepute.

Now that last one is a thought.

But anyway, Im still here, and Im not going anywhere. 

Maybe Im going to be bundled dramatically out of my apartment at 4am this morning and given the golden bullet? But I doubt it. Im not revealing anything secret, because I dont know anything secret. I have a rant and rave about a few things, but Im 24-year-old male who isnt getting any sex. What do you expectharmony?

Let me also point out one major flaw in this rumour: the suggestion I would sign a contract to shut up. 

I would walk away in an instant if that ever happened.

This would occur either because I had gone too far in my writings and been causing serious damage to my employer, which would be thoroughly unprofessional, or because they were being utterly unreasonable. 

No-one will ever silence me, other than myself. Or my mum.

[in translation]

This incident drew the attention of many netizens, with quite a few being certain that it was censorship.  But I feel that one must base one's conclusions upon the facts and then analyze them carefully.  Absent any proof, HBC and PCCW are both innocent.  But if we are suspicious of HBC and PCCW, we need to be equally suspicious of ntscmp.com in order to be fair.

In conjunction with the findings and analyses of other netizens, I have the following points of suspicion:

1. I have never visited ntscmp.com before and I began to pay attention only after this incident.  According to data from alexa.com, ntscmp was ranked 1,306,455 three months ago and today it is ranked 33,330, for a rise of 1,775,537 places.  If you think the ISP's are censoring this site because HGC and PCCW users cannot connect to it, then I think the above is even more suspicious.  Is it possible that someone pulled a trick in order to attract eyeballs?

2. Some netizens using HGC and Netvigator were able to enter the website.  So why does that website insist that HGC and Netvigator users cannot go there?

3. As the two largest ISP's in Hong Kong, why would they bother to block a relatively unknown website?

4. If some netizens using HGC and Netvigator can still enter the website, then why kind of censorship is this?  I think the two system administrators must be busy looking for new jobs!

Since yesterday, our technical experts in Internet Society Hong Kong has investigated into the incident, and here's what we have found so far:

- Users from Netvigator and HGC cannot access ntscmp.com, but users from most other networks can.
- Using "telnet ntscmp.com 80" to test the connection over Netvigator, we observe that in general the user can connect to the site for less than 1 second, but the connection was closed gracefully (no error message of disconnection) shortly. The obvious possibility is that the site accepts and then closes the connection from Netvigator.
- From the fact that our testers from these networks can get connected to ntscmp.com for a short moment, we have reasonable evidence that they did not impose a simple firewall blocking on the IP of ntscmp.com.
- Reading the results from tcpdump on the connection, it was a FIN packet that closes the connection gracefully.
- Normally a FIN packet is sent from the server to end a session, but it is technically possible for any administrator with sufficent privilege between the user and the network (ISP) and the endpoint (website) to send such a FIN packet to the user.
- Unless we can plant a sniffer at each segment to see which segment originates the packet, it will be virtually impossible for us to know where the FIN packet comes from. In other words, technically it is entirely possible that some third party (other than Netvigator and ntscmp.com) sends a RSET packet to clear the connection.
- But normally such behaviour happens when the end site closes the connection from Netvigator etc., because it maintains a blacklist of networks that they do not want to serve, e.g. if these networks may be a source of worms or viruses.

In summary, our conclusion is that we cannot find any evidence of a block imposed by the accused ISPs on the website in question. Connections from these ISPs to the website are flagged and closed gracefully and this can be caused by any third party who gained sufficient privilege or the endpoint website. But it is also virtually impossible for us to be able to investigate as a third party without such privilege to sniff into all the segments on the network.

Because of these observations, at the moment we do not believe the accused ISPs imposed any block on this website. We welcome any further input so that we can further investigate.

[in translation]

Anson Chan finally announced that she will not run in the Chief Executive election next year.  At the press conference, she said that she "had never thought about" entering the CE election.  Few people believe that.  Her famous words "I'll take one step at a time" and "Who knows what will happen in the next few months?" had unavoidably made people speculate about her plans.  Even if she had not decided to go ahead, she could not be said to be totally disinterested.  If she really was uninterested and only wanted to study the development of the Hong Kong political system in order to come up with some constructive recommendations, she would have an easier time if she had come out earlier to say that she was not running.  That would have lessened the suspicions of the central government and the SAR government senior officials and also persuade more people to become her partners.

She explained why she said nothing about her intentions with respect to the CE election: "In politics, everybody has learned not to take a position until the most critical moment."  This saying is peculiar and unconvincing.  No wonder the media are saying that she "gave up" or "backed down."

Mrs. Chan clearly knows that many of her friends in the pan-democratic camp were hoping for her to run and thought that she might run.  Therefore, she needs to say "sorry" to those people who are disappointed by her decision not to run.

But the pan-democratic camp are even more disappointed, because Mrs. Chan expressed two points at the press conference:

1. She said that she will not help the CE candidate chosen the pan-democratic camp;

2. She said that she will support "a person who acts responsibly for Hong Kong, who will rule Hong Kong with openness, transparency and public trust and who will implement 'one country, two systems'" as CE.

These conditions do not include supporting the implementation of universal suffrage in 2012 (or as quickly as possible), or acting responsibly for democracy.  These two points should disappoint the pan-democrats.

This has to be an obvious turnabout in Mrs. Chan's political attitude.  Since her unexpected participation in last December's "Anti-political reform demonstration march," Mrs. Chan has spoken many times about supporting democracy and universal suffrage.  She stood with the pan-democrats and urged people to participate in this year's July 1st march.  She openly called for Chief Executive Donald Tsang to "do his best to get democracy for the people of Hong Kong."  In late July, she was interviewed by CNN and she said that she is planning to form a "core group" in order to promote universal suffrage.  She said "it is necessary to persuade more people to join the democratic ranks so that our voices are louder.  Otherwise, we cannot convince the central government and the Hong Kong government to implement universal suffrage."

Mrs. Chan's current position is clearly to draw a line between herself and the pan-democratic camp and cool down her own "fight for democracy."  Her core group does not have any pan-democratic representative.  According to her own explanation, the core group "will be mainly studying the model and route to universal suffrage" and "the work will be complicated and is estimated to take months or even years to complete."  This meant that the core group does not plan to do anything during the critical period leading up to the election of the Chief Executive, especially with respect to applying pressure on the CE candidates about the time table for universal suffrage.

The objective consequence of this turnabout was that Mrs. Chan is at a longer distance away from the pan-democratic camp and this creates some room for her to mend her increasingly tense relationship with the central government.  Outsiders can only speculate as to why she chose to change the attitude that she held for most of the year.  If she were ten years younger, the current changes may lead people to speculate.  But time is not on her side, and it is difficult to think that the Mrs. Chan of today still has any long-term plans.

(Ming Pao)  Lee Peng-fei is a National People's Congress representative and a member of Anson Chan's core group.  He said, "It does not matter how good a proposal is.  As soon as it is connected with the pan-democrats, it has no future!"  According to his analysis, first of all, the pan-democrats cannot even visit Beijing.  If Beijing thinks Anson Chan is in the same camp as the pan-democrats, they won't even look at the proposal from the core group.  Secondly, the people in the core group can rationally consider the degree to which Beijing might accept the proposal for political reform whereas the pan-democrats will not.

ntscmp.com is hosted on a web hosting company in the U.S.  Its IP address is 69.49.101.19 [reverse DNS - hostedc10.megawebservers.com] and at least 5,439 other domain names are also hosted on that IP address.

That is right: at least 5,440 domain names, including ntscmp.com.

What about 69.49.101.19?  Is there anything special that merits special attention?  So I googled "69.49.101.19."  There are several entries of interest.

Internet Defense (Phisery):  A phishing email was sent on July 22, 2006 from Italy.  The purpose of the email was to get customers of Halifax Bank (UK) to enter their security information at a fake website.  The resource used was at 69.49.101.19.  It is noted: "The details will either be fake, or belong to another authority which owns a web server which has been compromised by the attacker."

Internet Defense (Phishery): A phishing email was sent on August 10, 2006 from the United States.  The purpose of the emil was to get customers of Bank of America to enter their security information at a fake website.  The resource used was at 69.49.101.19.  It is noted: "The details will either be fake, or belong to another authority which owns a web server which has been compromised by the attacker."

Escrow Fraud Prevention: A note was posted on July 31, 2006 about Transporters Worldwide Mobile at http://www.transporters-worldwide-mobile.com (IP address 69.49.101.19).

Escrow Fraud Prevention: A note was posted on August 26, 2006 about Mobile Shipment Company at www.szeiec-road.com (IP address 69.49.101.19)

Artists Against 419:  A note was posted on August 10, 2006 by about Europe Auto Delivery at www.europe-auto-delivery.com (IP address 69.49.101.19).

Trend Micro: A note was posted on June 8, 2005 about a phishing email for SkyBank customers to enter security information at a fake website (iskyfi.com at 69.49.101.19).

[in translation]

The verdict on the "Flash Rape Mob" case was rendered last week in district court.  The male netizen who was calling on others to form a "rapist gang" was found guilty on two counts of violating public morality.  Less than one week later, the police has arrested a 21-year-old netizen who claimed to want to have a suicide human bomb attack on "Didiney."  These two cases were discussed widely in the real and virtual worlds, with some commentators getting concerned that these cases are setting up bad precedents of speech as crime -- whereas the Internet provides the maximum freedom for speech, it has become the warehouse for law enforcement personnel to spot trouble.

It is perhaps an exaggeration to say these Internet-related crimes are setting a precedent to criminalize speech.  "Freedom of speech" is not an absolute right.  The current Hong Kong criminal law criminalizes certain kinds of speech, such as criminal libel, aiding/abetting/persuading others to commit crime, or even something as simple as obscene language in public transportation.  Anything inappropriate may make the speaker criminally liable.

Although the Internet is a virtual world, this does not mean that the law becomes virtual.  Internet crimes carry the same liabilities but the same law applied to the real or virtual world may be vastly different.  The virtual world is different from the real world in that the reach of a speech is much higher than in the real world, and its power to incite is therefore much more.  Legislative Councillor and barrister Audrey Eu pointed out that Internet speech can incite others to commit crimes, and therefore it is understandable that the law enforcement authorities would want to handle the Internet more carefully.

But when the police arrested the netizen who claimed to want to bomb "Didiney," the circumstances were different from the "Flash rape mob" case.  In the "Didiney" case, a self-proclaimed "Hezbollah terrorist" netizen posted at a discussion forum in a joking manner that he wanted information on bomb construction in order to launch a suicide bomb attack on "Didiney."  There was no discussion about any actual tactics.  Although another netizen gave him instructions on how to build a home-made sulfuric acid bomb, nobody would have treated this as true.  But the police arrested the netizen for "attempting to cause an explosion" while not finding any bomb-making materials at this home.  This may have been an overkill.

Obviously, one should not encourage terrorist activities, but the police must have "probable cause to file charges" when they arrest someone.  Based upon the case details, the police had reason to investigate in order to ensure that there was no bomb attack, but there was no reason to make the high-profile arrest.  When the case is dismissed, one feels that this was an overkill even as the feeble Internet free speech space is irreparably hurt.  The law enforcement authorities need to be extra careful about Internet crimes.

Netizens and law enforcers both have the duty to protect healthy Internet speech.

Hong Kong: Pacific Net: connection was broken at 217.239.40.78 (Deutsche Telecom in Germany) (see screen capture)
Powerbase: connection was broken at 217.239.40.78 (Deutsche Telecom in Germany) (see screen capture)
Sum.com.hk: connection was broken at 217.239.40.78 (Deutsche Telecom in Germany) (see screen capture)
 
HKFTP: connection was broken at Cogentco.com (see screen capture)
Zonasa: connection was broken at Cogentco.com (see screen capture)
Hutchinson Global Communications: connection was broken at Cogento.com (see screen capture)

To summarize all my experiments, my requests from Hong Kong were dropped at Telus.com, Cogentco.com or Deutsche Telecom before they could reach NTSCMP.com at IP address 69.49.101.19.  No Hong Kong ISP should be blamed for these events.  And all three relayers (one Canadian, one American and one German) failed to reach the next point.
 
What if we attempted to run TRACERT from North American academic sites to NTSCMP.com?  There is no reason for these access attempts to go through Netvigator or HGC in Hong Kong.  Here are my results:

Princeton University (Princeton, NJ): connection was broken at Cogento.com (see screen capture)
Stanford University (Palo Alto, CA): connection was broken at Cogento.com (see screen capture)
Carnegie Mellon University (Pittsburgh, PA): connection was broken at 217.239.40.78 (Deutsche Telecom in Germany) (see screen capture)
University of Oregon (Eugene, OR): connection was broken at telus.net (see screen capture)

I believe that something unusual is happening in North America, and this has nothing to do with any Hong Kong ISP.  While TRACERT is not necessarily equivalent to web page access, someone somewhere had to have taken the extra step to make TRACERT fail.  Why?
 
At this point, I would like to inject a personal opinion.  And I emphasize that this is a statement of personal opinion which is protected by the freedom of expression in Hong Kong and the United States of America.  What is my impression of FortuneCity.com, which hosts NTSCMP.com?  I think of FortuneCity.com as one of the worst ever in the history of the Internet, along with Geocities, Tripod and Lycos.  I have no reason to believe their declarations over those of Netvigator and Hutchison Global Communications.  At this point, the FortuneCity.com administrator may say that he has no problem accessing NTSCMP.com, but why is everybody having such problems doing a TRACERT?  Maybe it is something that FortuneCity.com is doing or maybe it is something happening upstream.  But it is not the Hong Kong ISP's for sure.

P.S.  Additional information:
...  

(in translation)  

Several days ago, just like Dukedom of Aberdeen, I received an email from Letters from China about how it was impossible to access ntscmp.com via Netvigator and HGC.  I am a Netvigator user and I attempted to access the website.  I was unsuccessful.  But I attempted to access the website again between two days ago and now and I was successful.

In this age in which politics meant everything, it is expected that the ntscmp story would be called "censorship" and "blocking."  At the time, I was ready to call this censorship, but then I thought that is was premature to "jump to conclusion."  In order to reach this conclusion, it is necessary to show that not only Netvigator/HGC users cannot access but all other users (in Hong Kong and elsewhere) can reach the website.  According to Sidekick and EastSouthWestNorth, the problem is in the United States and not with the Hong Kong ISP's.

At this moment, the incident has been characterized as a "censorship incident" (in the two Apple Daily reports), with scary terms such as "censorship" and "blocking."  Whenever such matters involve the top wealthiest families in Hong Kong, everybody should be "wary" and just condemn first before anything else.  I don't know about that.  Several days ago, I was unable to access ntscmp.com, but I can now do so easily.  Is this because of the exposure?  But I think that I still have to give the accused party the benefit of the doubt until accurate evidence is available.  Or else I can become a laughing stock.

... Chinese ecnoomic data often contain a little bit of black humor.

The latest example is this: in August, industrial production grew by 15.7%, which is 1% less than last month and also a new low since March 2005.  But for the same month, electricity consumption increased by 16.4% compared to the increase of 13.5% in July.  This created the "single highest increase in the 21st century."  These two sets of incompatible data are black and humorous, because our national economic development has defied normal logic: electricity consumption goes up while industrial production goes down.

Why?  Because it is extremely difficult for two different departments to coordinate their data.  That is, one side may be inflating or deflating the numbers while the other side does not do the same.  This meant that some numbers are heading in opposite directions.  Relatively speaking, electricity consumption is fixed and hard to fake.  For the August industrial production, the macroeconomic control policy to cool down the economy gave the government the motive to adjust the numbers downwards.  At the same time, environmental protection and green GDP are receiving increasing attention and becoming important indicators of political accomplishments as well as economic interests, and so the local governments are motivated to overstate energy consumption for now.  Thus, the statistical data become science fiction ... 

(Apple Daily)  Anti-Li Ka-shing Website Blocked, Central Government Possible Suspect.  September 23, 2006.

[in translation]

The matter of the website ntscmp.com that is critical of Li Ka-shing and Richard Li being blocked is still unresolved.  As of yesterday, the Office of Telecommunications Authority has received 34 complaints.  Netvigator and Hutchison Global re-iterated that they have not done any blocking.  Hong Kong Internet Society chairman Charles Mok said that more investigation may show that a third party could be stopping Hong Kong netizens from accessing that website, while the company that is hosting the website said that they suspect the Chinese government is involved.

Charles Mok said that more tests have shown that Hong Kong users can reach the website, but then they are immediately interrupted from viewing.  Therefore, the "superficial evidence" indicates that this may not be due to blocking by the Hong Kong Internet service providers.  It is possible that the website caused the incident by adopting certain procedures to prevent intrusion, and it is also possible that a third party is involved.  The matter is inconclusive at this time.

ntscmp.com owner George Adams said that this hosting service Fortune City is saying that the blocking originated from Hong Kong and netizens outside of Hong Kong can view his website normally.  He said that he could do nothing after the denials by Netvigator and Hutchison Global.  Local website InMediaHK cited Fortune City which hosts ntscmp.com as saying that the company does not block Hong Kong users and that this is possibly something that the Chinese government is doing.  But the company did not explain further.

According to engineers who are familiar with Internet technology, this incident is very unusual.  If the blocking does not orignate from Hong Kong, it will be hard to track down and it will be even more difficult to find out if the Chinese government was involved.

As Charles Mok noted, the headline was bad because there is absolutely no evidence or motive for the Chinese government to do any blocking.

From InMediaHK, here is the email reply from Fortune City:

From: Chris Ferry <chris@corp.fortunecity.com>
To: "Shu Hung (Koala)" <my email>
Cc: dns@fortunecity.com
Date: Sep 22, 2006 4:00 AM
Subject: Re: Have you blocked our access to your server

Shu Hung,

We are not blocking these IPs on our routers. It is most likely the Chinese Government. If you require access to these sites may I suggest an anonymous proxy server. But I imagine most of those are blocked as well.

Good luck,
Chris Ferry
Director of Operations
FortuneCity.com Inc.

It is likely that Chris Ferry does not understand Hong Kong's position in the context of China ("one country, two systems").  He suggests that this Hong Kong user should use an anonymous proxy server, which he imagines might be blocked as well.  That is a total misconception about the state of Internet access in Hong Kong (with the exception of this one peculiar case right now).  The term Chinese government usually means the central government on the mainland.  The technology does not exist for the central government to block Internet access in Hong Kong, least of all selectively among some (but not all) Netvigator and Hutchinson Global users.

(in translation)

Tycoon Li Ka-shing and his second son Richard Li may not coordinate with each too well in business, but they are unified against outside insults.  A website critical of the Li's appears to have been blocked by Li Ka-shing's Hutchison Global Communications and Richard Li's Netvigator.  The users of those two ISP's have been unable to access the website.  The Office of Telecommunications Authority has received 24 complaints.  The two companies both denied blocking their users from accessing the website.  A Legislative Council member pointed out that there is suspicion of interfering with freedom of information flow and asked the government to investigate.

The website suspected of being blocked by the two large ISP's is ntscmp.com, which was started in 1997.  The website uses sarcasm and humor to poke fun at social ills without being afraid of the rich and powerful.  As such, it is relatively well-known.

The website owner George Adams stated recently on the website that some netizens claimed to be unable to access the website recently.  After his investigation, it was found that only Netvigator and Hutchison users were affected.  He suspected that those two companies were blocking the website and called for netizens to complain to the OFTA.

Netizens were outraged by large financial groups blocking independent websites.  Many well-known blogs such as Mister Bijou and EastSouthWestNorth have commented on this case, and the local website InMediaHK has also reported on this.  The HK Golden discussion forum carried heated responses, with people saying that this is the typical Li style.  But there were also users of those two companies who claimed to be able to access the website.  Our reporter tested yesterday with Netvigator and Hutchison, and failed to get on.

George Adams told us that he checked his computer and server and both were working normally.  Furthermore, netizens outside of Hong Kong were not affected, so the two ISP's are the most likely culprits.  He has inquired at both ISP's.  Netvigator said that everything is normal while Hutchison has not replied.  He said that his website uses humor mostly to comment on the Li's without being malicious.  The most recent creation is a collage of photographs that referred to Richard Li as a "twat," and that may be the cause for the blocking.  He also described this affair as "disgusting censorship."

Both Netvigator and Hutchison have denied blocking their users from visiting anti-Li websites.  They said that some users can visit that website normally.  The OFTA has received 24 complaints so far, and the OFTA spokesperson claimed that if ISP's deliberately block information flow against the law, the highest penalty is a fine of up to HK$20,000 and two years in prison.

Charles Mok, Chairperson of the Internet Society Hong Kong, said that he heard about the case and preliminary investigation showed that several Hong Kong ISP's have encountered similar situations for unknown reasons.  "It may be that the ISP filtered the information, but another possibility is that there is a problem with the website itself."  He said that it is easier to trace from the server side.  Fan Kwok-fai, executive director of the Hong Kong Information Technology and Network Engineers Association, said that ISP's can easily block users from visiting certain websites and it is hard for third parties to do so.  However, the actual situation can only be determined after investigation.

Sin Chung-kai, Hong Kong Legislative Council member and chairman of the committee Information Technology and Communication Affairs, pointed out that the incident involves possibly restraint on the free flow of information and the authorities should investigate it quickly and prosecute if appropriate.  "If blocking combined.

[in translation]

(update on September 21)

During the day, I tried to use Netvigator to access ntscmp.com.  Failure.  This evening, I went home to Aberdeen and use i-cable to access it.  Success.  Before coming home, I had dinner with a friend who said that he tried it with Netvigator at work and he succeeded.

Based upon the above results, this thing does not seem to be the result of censorship/blocking.  On the contrary, there seems to be a problem with that website that made it impossible to go there.  I found a tool known as Mutliple Traceroute v0.96 which can test the routes from places from all over the world.  I started off with Telstra (203.50.2.177) in Melbourne.  Failure.  Next, I started from Finland's Center for Scientific Computing csc3-infor-a (193.166.0.1).  Failure.

It would seem that more than Netvigator users cannot access ntscmp.com.  Did ntscmp.com fool us?  I don't know.  I don't particularly like to clear Netvigator, but I must respect the facts.  The facts are that there is insufficient evdience to support what ntscmp.com says on its website:

1. No one can access ntscmp.com using Netvigator or HGC in Hong Kong.
2. Every other server can access ntscmp.com.

Those two points do not correspond to reality.

EastSouthWestNorth recommended that Netvigator (and other ISP's) state clearly that they will not block any website.  I believe that it is obviously a wonderful thing for the ISP's to say so.  But from the position of Netvigator, this highly visible statement will cause the mainstream media (such as newspapers and radio stations) to report and therefore lead to more people going to ntscmp.com, which is perhaps what the Li's do not want to see.  Presently, if there are only a small number of bloggers discussing this subject, it may be more advantageous for them to do nothing.

I do not have a firm position on this matter.  If this was a false alarm, we may be somewhat at a loss.  But in the end, we must respect the facts.  Perhaps I am wrong, and I hope someone will point out my mistake.

But I want the ISP's to know that people care about freedom of speech and information.  I care.

(in translation)  As far as I can tell, most local Hong Kong blogs are personal blogs.  So who is worth the most amount of money?  I tested several relatively more popular blogs at this website and here is their ranking:

1.東南西北 $1,296,658
2.
港燦筆記 $827,837
3.
聞見思錄 $475,566
4.
通寶日記 $101,278
5.PK_
日記 $88,070

The top-ranked EastSouthWestNorth has a "market value" of $1.2 million.  At a conservative return rate of 7%, there is a monthly income of $7,500.  That does not mean that you don't have to work anymore because it is going straight into your pocket from the buyers.  The condition is that you must keep on writing.  But if someone offers this price, should you sell?  Based upon the current circumstances, even if you outsource to Google to sell ads, it will be hard to make $7,500 per month.  Therefore, it would be worthwhile.  But the amount is not that big.  If you don't need money right now, you can wait because the space for development may be bigger than currently.

Related Link: 港燦筆記值 $827,837 ??????  港燦筆記

(in translation)  It would not matter how much you offer this blogger.  I have no intention of selling ads here.  Besides, if you write in Chinese, the Google ads will only be "public interest" ads.  I don't think that I am good enough to publish a book of collected essays or write a newspaper column, and I have no intention to do that.  I write this blog purely to for mental rest/masturbation.

Related Link: 47萬還是55萬?  ...

We are now no longer viewable via Li Ka Shing owned PCCW Netvigator or Hutchison Global Communications Broadband servers (the former being the biggest Internet service provider in Hong Kong) but are freely available via HK public libraries and on other HK servers, and in the USA and in the UK for certain. Was it the (Li Ka Shing supermarket chain) Park N Shop ripoff references or the lovely pic above of PCCW/Netvigator Chairman Richard Li which threw the switch on us? We apologise for this hiatus in the delivery of your NTSCMP. Thank you for your kind messages of support.  Dr George Adams, for NTSCMP.

The Park N Shop reference was based upon this photograph in which the bottle of a cheap wine was marked dowm from HK$45.00 to HK$44.90.  Wow!


 
So did PCCW Netvigator ban NTCMP.com as a result?  I'm not sure.  For a while, I could not access NTSCMP.com as a i-cable.com user.  Had PCCW Netvigator really banned any website in Hong Kong, I am positive that i-cable.com would have taken out full-page advertisements in newspapers to say that they would never do so.  This is because the Hong Kong ISP market is highly comeptitive in Hong Kong and they will seize on any comeptitive edge (see Travellers' Tales).  So perhaps there is a technical glitch that affected some or all the Hong Kong ISP's.
 
As uncertain as I am about whether there is a real story here, as opposed to some Internet-related technical issue beyond the control of PCCW Netvigator, I observed that the Internet is responding:

Global Voices Online: Hong Kong (China), Freedom of Speech, Internet & Telecoms:.  "An alert posted by Mister Bijou on PCCW (biggest telecom in HK and ISP netvigator) decision to filter out a website called ntscmp.  ESWN picks up the story and urges Hong Kong blogger to test the filtering."

Global Voices Online: Hong Kong: GFW in HK?

Mister Bijou: Part 1,